Market Research

 

MIDYEAR OUTLOOK 2019

Fundamental: How to focus on what really matters in the markets

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When LPL released the Outlook 2019: FUNDAMENTAL: How to Focus on What Really Matters in the Markets in December 2018, financial markets were in disarray. Global investors were scared by uncertain monetary policy, fiscal and legislative discord, slowing economic growth and slackening corporate profits. Despite the increased volatility, we continued to believe that market and economic fundamentals remained generally sound. 

Fortunately, the worst of these fears did not materialize, and consistent with our Outlook, the U.S. economy avoided a recession, global equities rebounded and fixed income returns contributed to diversified portfolios. Economic and market fundamentals were the foundation for the market's recovery from the December lows. Even as we face prospects for periodic volatility, we believe emphasizing fundamentals remains critical for making effective investment decisions. 

At the halfway point of 2019, the U.S. economy has held steady, supported by a fiscal stimulus we have highlighted for two years, and corporate profits continue to grow. At the same time, trade tensions are increasingly weighing on the economic outlook, while slowing global growth and political uncertainty have forced global central bankers to extend extraordinary levels of support. 

We are still navigating a challenging environment. Investing comes with uncertainty, and market volatility can be alarming, but we continue to encourage investors to look beyond short-term market stresses and consider the real drivers of investment returns, as we believe that mindset may be a key to achieving long-term financial goals.

LPL's Midyear Outlook 2019 provides updated views of current fundamentals and the things that should persist as shorter-term concerns fade, and emphasizes our four primary pillars for fundamental investing—policy, the economy, fixed income and equities. As the headlines change daily, look to these pillars and LPL Research's Midyear Outlook 2019 to help provide perspective on what really matters in the markets.

 

 

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide or t be construed as providing specific advice or recommendations for any individual security. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. Our recommendations are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions. Economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted, and there can be no guarantee that strategies promoted will be successful. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation to its completeness or accuracy.
This research material has been prepared by LPL Financial, member FINRA/SIPC.
Please see the full Midyear Outlook 2019 publication for additional description and disclosures.