Try to Imagine a Trillion Dollars
By R. Todd Holden | Wealth Advisor
Northwest Financial Advisors
Can you imagine a trillion dollars? I cannot. Trust me, I’ve tried.
Imagining a billion dollars is easy. It’s a million dollars a thousand times over. When the Power Ball reaches a billion dollars every now and then, I think about it. An apartment in New York City, a flat in Prague (beautiful place), a beach house, nice boat, a private foundation and some really large investment accounts — this is all within the realm of imagination to me.
I cannot fathom a trillion dollars. Think of it in seconds. A million seconds equals 11.5 days. A billion seconds equals 31.7 years. A trillion seconds equals 31,688 years. A trillion seconds ago was before the last ice age began.
Our federal government owes approximately $38.5 trillion dollars.
When clients ask about what keeps me up at night, it is not the current news. It was not the long-forgotten Greek banking crisis of 2013, nor is it the potential AI bubble today — or anything else that is making the news. It is the $38 trillion — and growing — federal debt. What is it going to do to our society, and how are we (or our children) going to pay it off?
The only thing we know are the rules in place today. Here are a few strategies to consider that you may want to discuss with your advisor.
We know that by historical standards, income tax rates are relatively low, so it probably makes sense to consider Roth 401(k) contributions and Roth IRA conversions. Depending on one’s tax bracket, paying the taxes upfront may make sense.
We know that the life insurance industry has an incredibly strong lobby that has been effective historically in making certain that death benefits pass to the next generation income tax-free. Life insurance may be an effective tax-avoidance tool. (Yes, I hate life insurance too, but it is a wonderful and legal tax mitigation strategy).
We know that many clients have large amounts of money in tax-deferred accounts (e.g., TSP, 401(k), Traditional IRA), and if they wait until their 70s to begin withdrawals, they may find themselves in higher tax brackets. Perhaps, they should begin withdrawals before they’re required to do so.
We know that some investments are more tax-efficient than others, so it makes sense to consider the tax-efficiency of investments when investing new money.
In short, taxes need to be an increasing focal point for our investment decisions — and we have 38 trillion reasons why.
